Aarhus vs SC Braga prediction & analysis
SC Braga or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: SC Braga to win @ 1.95 – our chance 64% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Aarhus 0.6 – 1.6 SC Braga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
SC Braga travel as clear favourites – 64% to win, against 14% for Aarhus.
Aarhus have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. SC Braga have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (0.6 for Aarhus, 1.6 for SC Braga). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 57% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (19%), 0–2 (15%), 0–0 (12%).
Our pick is SC Braga or draw at a 86% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, SC Braga to win at 1.95 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | SC Braga to win ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | SC Braga or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.90 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT SC Braga / FT SC Braga ✗ | 38% | 2.60 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 19% | 5.35 | – |
Form
Aarhus – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Brondby | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | @ Roskilde | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Viborg | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ FC Copenhagen | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Oct | @ Gent | 0–1 | L |
SC Braga – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Famalicao | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | vs Famalicao | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Oct | @ Nacional | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Oct | vs Gent | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | vs GIL Vicente | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Oct | @ FC Copenhagen | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aarhus and SC Braga.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Lugano | 3 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 |  Panathinaikos | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 3 |  Twente | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 |  Monaco | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Brighton | 3 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |  Brann | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |  FC Copenhagen | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Universitatea Craiova | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 |  Mjallby AIF | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 10 |  St. Truiden | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ajax | 3 | +6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Trabzonspor | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  SC Freiburg | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atalanta | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 |  SC Braga | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 |  Gent | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 |  Riga | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  FC Thun | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |  Borac Banja Luka | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 23 |  FK Jablonec | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 24 |  Aarhus | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 25 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 26 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 27 |  Kairat Almaty | 3 | -4 | 2 |
| 28 |  CSKA Sofia | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Pafos | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 31 |  Getafe | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 33 |  KuPS | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Midtjylland | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 3 | -10 | 0 |
More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Aarhus vs SC Braga?
Our pick is SC Braga or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aarhus vs SC Braga?
On our numbers Aarhus have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and SC Braga 64%.
How many goals will there be in Aarhus vs SC Braga?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Aarhus vs SC Braga?
Aarhus vs SC Braga (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Cepheus Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.