Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✗67% · @1.36
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✗89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.76
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split preview and prediction
The match
Lincoln Red Imps FC host HNK Hajduk Split in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 5 November, with kick-off at 18:45 (WAT) at Europa Point Stadium. Lincoln Red Imps FC are 22nd with 3 points from 3 games (in the bottom half), while HNK Hajduk Split sit 13th on 6 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lincoln Red Imps FC's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Hound Dogs 5–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
HNK Hajduk Split's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat HNK Gorica 5–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
HNK Hajduk Split arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 0.9 for Lincoln Red Imps FC and 2.4 for HNK Hajduk Split. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lincoln Red Imps FC 11%, draw 22%, HNK Hajduk Split 67%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 58% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0–2 HNK Hajduk Split. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lincoln Red Imps FC11%fair 8.85 · @8.00
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @5.00
HNK Hajduk Split67%fair 1.50 · @1.36
3.30Expected goals
0.94Lincoln Red Imps FC xG
2.35HNK Hajduk Split xG
58%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–18%
0–38%
1–38%
From our goals model: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0.9 – 2.4 HNK Hajduk Split expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Hajduk Split to win✗
67%
1.50
1.36
Double chance
HNK Hajduk Split or draw✗
89%
1.13
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.44
Half-time result
HNK Hajduk Split ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
10%
9.76
–
Form
Lincoln Red Imps FC – last 6
WWLWLW
1 Nov
@ Hound Dogs
5–0
W
25 Oct
vs Lions Gibraltar
3–0
W
22 Oct
vs Twente
1–4
L
18 Oct
@ Lynx
2–1
W
15 Oct
@ Brann
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Europa
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
HNK Hajduk Split – last 6
WDWWWW
31 Oct
vs HNK Gorica
5–0
W
26 Oct
@ Istra 1961
2–2
D
22 Oct
@ FC Thun
1–0
W
18 Oct
vs NK Varazdin
1–0
W
15 Oct
vs Ajax
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Dinamo Zagreb
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lincoln Red Imps FC and HNK Hajduk Split.
What is the prediction for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?
On our numbers Lincoln Red Imps FC have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 22% and HNK Hajduk Split 67%.
How many goals will there be in Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our predicted score is Lincoln Red Imps FC 0–2 HNK Hajduk Split, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Europa Point Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
