Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: St. Truiden to win @ 1.67 – our chance 67% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt. Truiden to win ✗67% · @1.67
Double chanceSt. Truiden or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.82
St. Truiden vs Brann preview and prediction
The match
Brann travel to Daio Wasabi Stayen in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 5 November (21:00 WAT) to face St. Truiden. St. Truiden are 10th with 7 points from 3 games (in the top half), while Brann sit 6th on 7 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
St. Truiden's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to OH Leuven 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Brann's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Molde 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Brann arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for St. Truiden and 1.0 for Brann. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: St. Truiden 67%, draw 20%, Brann 13%.
Safer route: St. Truiden or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.53.
Value angle: St. Truiden to win at 1.67 – 67% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was St. Truiden or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: St. Truiden 2–0 Brann. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St. Truiden67%fair 1.49 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @4.20
Brann13%fair 7.96 · @4.33
3.29Expected goals
2.34St. Truiden xG
0.95Brann xG
59%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: St. Truiden 2.3 – 1.0 Brann expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Truiden to win✗
67%
1.49
1.67 ▲
Double chance
St. Truiden or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Half-time result
St. Truiden ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Truiden / FT St. Truiden✗
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.82
–
Form
St. Truiden – last 6
LLWWWL
1 Nov
vs OH Leuven
1–2
L
25 Oct
@ Club Brugge KV
2–3
L
22 Oct
@ FC Midtjylland
1–0
W
18 Oct
vs Lommel United
4–1
W
15 Oct
vs FC Iberia 1999
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ KV Mechelen
3–4
L
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Brann – last 6
WWLWLW
1 Nov
vs Molde
3–2
W
28 Oct
@ Grorud
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Lillestrom
2–3
L
22 Oct
@ Kauno Žalgiris
4–1
W
18 Oct
@ Valerenga
1–3
L
15 Oct
vs Lincoln Red Imps FC
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Truiden and Brann.
Our pick is St. Truiden or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win St. Truiden vs Brann?
On our numbers St. Truiden have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Brann 13%.
How many goals will there be in St. Truiden vs Brann?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs Brann?
Our predicted score is St. Truiden 2–0 Brann, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is St. Truiden vs Brann?
St. Truiden vs Brann (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Daio Wasabi Stayen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
