Celta Vigo vs Juventus prediction & analysis
Juventus or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 56% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +78%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Celta Vigo 1.4 – 1.6 Juventus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Juventus shade it despite being away from home – 27% to win, against 17% for Celta Vigo, with the draw at 56%.
Celta Vigo have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.5 per game. Juventus have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.4 for Celta Vigo, 1.6 for Juventus). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
Our pick is Juventus or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is better than our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Draw at 3.20 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Draw ✗ | 56% | 1.80 | 3.20 ▲ |
| Double chance | Juventus or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.30 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Juventus / FT Juventus ✗ | 25% | 3.93 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–1 ✗ | 11% | 8.97 | – |
Form
Celta Vigo – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Elche | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Racing Santander | 5–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Omonia Nicosia | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Malaga | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Sep | @ Getafe | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Sep | @ Real Sociedad | 0–0 | D |
Juventus – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Cagliari | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Oct | vs Cremonese | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Atalanta | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | vs NEC Nijmegen | 5–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Sassuolo | 2–3 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs AC Milan | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celta Vigo and Juventus.
UEFA Europa League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | +8 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union St. Gilloise | 4 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzen | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrom | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 4 | -10 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | -10 | 0 |
More UEFA Europa League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Celta Vigo vs Juventus?
Our pick is Juventus or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Juventus?
On our numbers Celta Vigo have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Juventus 27%.
How many goals will there be in Celta Vigo vs Juventus?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Celta Vigo vs Juventus?
Celta Vigo vs Juventus (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Balaídos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.