Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting CP to win ✗74% · @1.20
Double chanceSporting CP or draw ✗94% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.19
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz preview and prediction
The match
Lask Linz travel to Estádio José Alvalade in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 21 October (20:00 WAT) to face Sporting CP. Sporting CP are 10th with 9 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Lask Linz sit 16th on 6 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sporting CP's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Lens 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Lask Linz's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Austria Lustenau 4–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Sporting CP arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 3.1 for Sporting CP and 1.1 for Lask Linz. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 79% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sporting CP 3–1 Lask Linz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting CP74%fair 1.36 · @1.20
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @7.00
Lask Linz6%fair 15.78 · @11.00
4.17Expected goals
3.09Sporting CP xG
1.08Lask Linz xG
64%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
2–18%
3–08%
2–07%
4–16%
4–06%
From our goals model: Sporting CP 3.1 – 1.1 Lask Linz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP to win✗
74%
1.36
1.20
Double chance
Sporting CP or draw✗
94%
1.07
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Sporting CP ahead at half-time✗
59%
1.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP✗
55%
1.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.19
–
Form
Sporting CP – last 6
WWDDWW
13 Oct
@ Lens
2–0
W
9 Oct
@ SC Braga
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Arouca
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Famalicao
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Galatasaray
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Nacional
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lask Linz – last 6
WLLWDL
17 Oct
@ Austria Lustenau
4–0
W
14 Oct
vs Liverpool
3–6
L
11 Oct
vs Rapid Vienna
0–2
L
2 Oct
vs First Vienna
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ TSV Hartberg
3–3
D
13 Sep
@ Sturm Graz
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting CP and Lask Linz.
What is the prediction for Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?
On our numbers Sporting CP have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lask Linz 6%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?
Our predicted score is Sporting CP 3–1 Lask Linz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio José Alvalade.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
