Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAston Villa to win ✓71% · @1.18
Double chanceAston Villa or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.62
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✓7% · fair 13.70
Aston Villa vs Viking preview and prediction
The match
Aston Villa host Viking in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 21 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Villa Park. Aston Villa are 6th with 9 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Viking sit 22nd on 4 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Aston Villa's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Newcastle 1–0 away. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Viking's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Fredrikstad 3–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.8 goals: 3.3 for Aston Villa and 1.5 for Viking. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 86% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aston Villa 71%, draw 15%, Viking 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aston Villa 3–1 Viking. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aston Villa71%fair 1.41 · @1.18
Draw15%fair 6.57 · @6.50
Viking14%fair 7.15 · @10.00
4.83Expected goals
3.29Aston Villa xG
1.54Viking xG
67%Both score
86%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–17%
2–17%
4–16%
3–26%
2–25%
3–05%
From our goals model: Aston Villa 3.3 – 1.5 Viking expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aston Villa to win✓
71%
1.41
1.18
Double chance
Aston Villa or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.62 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Aston Villa ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aston Villa / FT Aston Villa✓
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✓
7%
13.70
–
Form
Aston Villa – last 6
WWDWWW
17 Oct
@ Newcastle
1–0
W
14 Oct
vs Fenerbahçe
6–0
W
10 Oct
vs Brentford
2–2
D
2 Oct
@ Sevilla
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Tottenham
3–2
W
16 Sep
@ Coventry
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Viking – last 6
WDWWWW
17 Oct
vs Fredrikstad
3–2
W
13 Oct
vs Bayern München
3–3
D
9 Oct
@ Brann
2–0
W
1 Oct
@ Madla
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs Lillestrom
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Kristiansund BK
8–1
W
3.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aston Villa and Viking.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Viking?
On our numbers Aston Villa have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Viking 14%.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa vs Viking?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 86% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Viking?
Our predicted score is Aston Villa 3–1 Viking, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is Aston Villa vs Viking?
Aston Villa vs Viking (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Villa Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
