Lille host Galatasaray in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 21 October, with kick-off at 17:45 (WAT) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Lille are 35th with 1 points from 4 games (in the bottom three), while Galatasaray sit 18th on 6 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Lille's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Stade Brestois 29 1–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Galatasaray's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 2.3 for Lille and 2.0 for Galatasaray. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lille 45%, draw 21%, Galatasaray 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.42, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lille 2–1 Galatasaray. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lille45%fair 2.23 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.50
Galatasaray35%fair 2.89 · @3.00
4.25Expected goals
2.26Lille xG
1.99Galatasaray xG
71%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–17%
2–27%
1–16%
1–26%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Lille 2.3 – 2.0 Galatasaray expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lille to win✗
45%
2.23
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.42
1.50 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Lille ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lille / FT Lille✗
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.79
–
Form
Lille – last 6
DLWWLW
17 Oct
vs Stade Brestois 29
1–1
D
13 Oct
@ Arsenal
0–3
L
10 Oct
vs Le Havre
1–0
W
2 Oct
vs Zulte Waregem
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Nice
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Estac Troyes
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Galatasaray – last 6
WLWDLW
17 Oct
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1–0
W
13 Oct
vs Barcelona
1–4
L
9 Oct
vs Kasımpaşa
3–1
W
2 Oct
@ Pendikspor
3–3
D
19 Sep
@ Trabzonspor
0–4
L
13 Sep
vs Kocaelispor
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lille and Galatasaray.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Lille vs Galatasaray?
On our numbers Lille have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Galatasaray 35%.
How many goals will there be in Lille vs Galatasaray?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lille vs Galatasaray?
Our predicted score is Lille 2–1 Galatasaray, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Lille vs Galatasaray?
Lille vs Galatasaray (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
