The UEFA Champions League sees Inter take on Shakhtar Donetsk on Wednesday 21 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza. Inter are 15th with 6 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Shakhtar Donetsk sit 21st on 4 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Inter's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Bologna 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Shakhtar Donetsk's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Kolos Kovalivka 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shakhtar Donetsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 3.0 for Inter and 1.0 for Shakhtar Donetsk. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Inter 74%, draw 17%, Shakhtar Donetsk 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Inter to win – a 74% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Inter 2–1 Shakhtar Donetsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Inter74%fair 1.35 · @1.20
Draw17%fair 5.93 · @7.00
Shakhtar Donetsk9%fair 11.34 · @11.00
4.00Expected goals
2.95Inter xG
1.05Shakhtar Donetsk xG
63%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–18%
2–08%
3–08%
4–16%
4–06%
From our goals model: Inter 3.0 – 1.0 Shakhtar Donetsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter to win✓
74%
1.35
1.20
Double chance
Inter or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Inter ahead at half-time✗
58%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter / FT Inter✗
53%
1.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.95
–
Form
Inter – last 6
WLWDWL
17 Oct
@ Bologna
3–1
W
13 Oct
vs Club Brugge KV
3–4
L
10 Oct
vs Parma
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ AS Roma
2–2
D
14 Sep
vs Udinese
5–3
W
8 Sep
@ Real Madrid
1–2
L
2.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6
WWWWWW
17 Oct
vs Kolos Kovalivka
2–1
W
14 Oct
vs AEK Athens FC
3–1
W
9 Oct
@ Veres Rivne
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs LNZ Cherkasy
3–0
W
17 Sep
@ Vilkhivtsi
3–0
W
14 Sep
vs Chornomorets
2–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter and Shakhtar Donetsk.
What is the prediction for Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our pick is Inter to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
On our numbers Inter have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Shakhtar Donetsk 9%.
How many goals will there be in Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our predicted score is Inter 2–1 Shakhtar Donetsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
