Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Manchester United to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultComo to win ✓42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.12
Como vs Manchester United preview and prediction
The match
Como host Manchester United in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 21 October, with kick-off at 17:45 (WAT) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia. Como are 4th with 9 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Manchester United sit 17th on 6 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Como's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Fiorentina 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Manchester United's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Leeds 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Como arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.1 for Como and 1.9 for Manchester United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 68%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Como 42%, draw 22%, Manchester United 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Manchester United to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Como 2–1 Manchester United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Como42%fair 2.38 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.60
Manchester United36%fair 2.81 · @3.00
4.00Expected goals
2.08Como xG
1.92Manchester United xG
68%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Como 2.1 – 1.9 Manchester United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Como to win✓
42%
2.38
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.48
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Como ahead at half-time✓
35%
2.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Como / FT Como✓
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.12
–
Form
Como – last 6
WLDLWW
18 Oct
@ Fiorentina
3–1
W
14 Oct
@ Feyenoord
2–3
L
11 Oct
vs AS Roma
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Frosinone
0–2
L
14 Sep
vs Parma
2–1
W
10 Sep
vs RB Leipzig
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Manchester United – last 6
DLDDLL
18 Oct
@ Leeds
1–1
D
13 Oct
@ Atletico Madrid
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Tottenham
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Fulham
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Brighton
2–3
L
13 Sep
vs Manchester City
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Como and Manchester United.
What is the prediction for Como vs Manchester United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Como vs Manchester United?
On our numbers Como have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Manchester United 36%.
How many goals will there be in Como vs Manchester United?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Como vs Manchester United?
Our predicted score is Como 2–1 Manchester United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Como vs Manchester United?
Como vs Manchester United (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
