Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.23 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.23Odds
2
Value bet: Lascaris to win @ 3.31 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDerthona to win ✓41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · fair 1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.55
Derthona vs Lascaris preview and prediction
The match
Lascaris travel to face Derthona in the Serie D Girone A on Sunday 1 November (14:30 WAT). Derthona are 4th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Lascaris sit 14th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Derthona's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with Bra 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lascaris's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Fezzanese 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Derthona and 1.0 for Lascaris. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Lascaris to win at 3.31 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Derthona 1–1 Lascaris. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Derthona41%fair 2.43 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.05
Lascaris34%fair 2.92 · @3.31
2.16Expected goals
1.15Derthona xG
1.01Lascaris xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Derthona 1.1 – 1.0 Lascaris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Derthona to win✓
41%
2.43
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.84
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.34
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.23
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Derthona / FT Derthona✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.55
–
Form
Derthona – last 6
DDLLDW
25 Oct
@ Bra
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Asti
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Chisola
2–4
L
4 Oct
vs Alessandria
1–3
L
27 Sep
@ Saluzzo
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Millesimo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lascaris – last 6
LLWDLD
25 Oct
vs Fezzanese
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Alessandria
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Asti
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Imperia
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Millesimo
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Sestri Levante
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derthona and Lascaris.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Derthona vs Lascaris?
On our numbers Derthona have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lascaris 34%.
How many goals will there be in Derthona vs Lascaris?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derthona vs Lascaris?
Our predicted score is Derthona 1–1 Lascaris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Derthona vs Lascaris?
Derthona vs Lascaris (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
