Serie D Girone A · ItalySaluzzo vs Gozzano prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Gozzano to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Saluzzo 1.2 – 1.2 Gozzano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Saluzzo and Gozzano on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Saluzzo have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Gozzano have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded. Gozzano come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Saluzzo, 1.2 for Gozzano). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, Gozzano to win at 2.95 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Saluzzo to win ✗ | 38% | 2.63 | 2.35 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.89 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.44 | 1.32 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.68 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Saluzzo / FT Saluzzo ✗ | 21% | 4.79 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.40 | – |
Form
Saluzzo – last 6
| 25 Oct | @ Sestri Levante | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Chisola | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Bra | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Oct | @ Valenzana | 2–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Ligorna | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Derthona | 0–0 | D |
Gozzano – last 6
| 25 Oct | vs Chisola | 2–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Celle Varazze | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Ligorna | 0–4 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Biellese | 1–4 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Sanremese | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | @ Fezzanese | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saluzzo and Gozzano.
Serie D Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 11 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Chisola | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Biellese | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Derthona | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 11 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sanremese | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Saluzzo | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Imperia | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Asti | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sestri Levante | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lascaris | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Fezzanese | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Bra | 11 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 11 | -15 | 4 |
More Serie D Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Saluzzo vs Gozzano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Saluzzo vs Gozzano?
On our numbers Saluzzo have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gozzano 37%.
How many goals will there be in Saluzzo vs Gozzano?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Saluzzo vs Gozzano?
Saluzzo vs Gozzano (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.