Serie D Girone A · ItalyBorgosesia vs Alessandria prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.26 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Borgosesia 0.9 – 1.8 Alessandria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Alessandria shade it despite being away from home – 60% to win, against 21% for Borgosesia.
Borgosesia have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Alessandria have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. Alessandria come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (0.9 for Borgosesia, 1.8 for Alessandria). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 0–1 (12%), 1–1 (11%), 0–2 (11%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.26 is close to our fair price of 1.34.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alessandria to win ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.72 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.26 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.84 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.44 | 1.32 |
| Half-time result | Alessandria ahead at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alessandria / FT Alessandria ✓ | 36% | 2.75 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.65 | – |
Form
Borgosesia – last 6
| 25 Oct | @ Asti | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Imperia | 4–2 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Millesimo | 0–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Sestri Levante | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Sep | @ Chisola | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Valenzana | 2–1 | W |
Alessandria – last 6
| 25 Oct | vs Biellese | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Lascaris | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Fezzanese | 2–0 | W |
| 7 Oct | @ Biellese | 2–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Derthona | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | vs Imperia | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borgosesia and Alessandria.
Serie D Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 11 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Chisola | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Biellese | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Derthona | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 11 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sanremese | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Saluzzo | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Imperia | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Asti | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sestri Levante | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lascaris | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Fezzanese | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Bra | 11 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 11 | -15 | 4 |
More Serie D Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Borgosesia vs Alessandria?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Borgosesia vs Alessandria?
On our numbers Borgosesia have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Alessandria 60%.
How many goals will there be in Borgosesia vs Alessandria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Borgosesia vs Alessandria?
Borgosesia vs Alessandria (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.