Value bet: Biellese to win @ 1.77 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBiellese to win ✓64% · @1.77
Double chanceBiellese or draw ✓84% · fair 1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.04
Biellese vs Millesimo preview and prediction
The match
Biellese host Millesimo in the Serie D Girone A on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT). Biellese are 3rd with 21 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Millesimo sit 6th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Biellese's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Valenzana 0–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Millesimo's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Sanremese 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Biellese and 0.8 for Millesimo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Biellese to win at 1.77 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Biellese 2–0 Millesimo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Biellese64%fair 1.56 · @1.77
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.55
Millesimo16%fair 6.24 · @4.05
2.74Expected goals
1.92Biellese xG
0.82Millesimo xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Biellese 1.9 – 0.8 Millesimo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Biellese to win✓
64%
1.56
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Biellese or draw✓
84%
1.19
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.88
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.32
Half-time result
Biellese ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Biellese / FT Biellese✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.04
–
Form
Biellese – last 6
LLWLWW
28 Oct
@ Valenzana
0–3
L
25 Oct
@ Alessandria
0–2
L
18 Oct
vs Valenzana
4–1
W
11 Oct
@ Imperia
1–2
L
7 Oct
vs Alessandria
3–2
W
4 Oct
vs Gozzano
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Millesimo – last 6
DWWLLW
25 Oct
vs Sanremese
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Fezzanese
4–0
W
11 Oct
vs Borgosesia
3–0
W
7 Oct
@ Sanremese
2–5
L
4 Oct
@ Asti
0–2
L
27 Sep
vs Lascaris
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Biellese and Millesimo.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Biellese vs Millesimo?
On our numbers Biellese have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Millesimo 16%.
How many goals will there be in Biellese vs Millesimo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Biellese vs Millesimo?
Our predicted score is Biellese 2–0 Millesimo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Biellese vs Millesimo?
Biellese vs Millesimo (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
