Value bet: Asti to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAsti to win ✓41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.68
Fezzanese vs Asti preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone A sees Fezzanese take on Asti on Sunday 1 November, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT). Fezzanese are 15th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Asti sit 10th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fezzanese's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Lascaris 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Asti's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Borgosesia 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Fezzanese and 1.2 for Asti. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fezzanese 35%, draw 24%, Asti 41%.
Value angle: Asti to win at 2.70 – 41% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Fezzanese 1–1 Asti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fezzanese35%fair 2.82 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Asti41%fair 2.46 · @2.70
2.38Expected goals
1.14Fezzanese xG
1.24Asti xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Fezzanese 1.1 – 1.2 Asti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Asti to win✓
41%
2.46
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Asti / FT Asti✓
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.68
–
Form
Fezzanese – last 6
WLLLLL
25 Oct
@ Lascaris
1–0
W
18 Oct
vs Millesimo
0–4
L
11 Oct
@ Alessandria
0–2
L
4 Oct
vs Valenzana
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Imperia
0–2
L
21 Sep
vs Gozzano
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Asti – last 6
LDLWLD
25 Oct
vs Borgosesia
0–3
L
18 Oct
@ Derthona
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Lascaris
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Millesimo
2–0
W
27 Sep
@ Alessandria
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Valenzana
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fezzanese and Asti.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Fezzanese vs Asti?
On our numbers Fezzanese have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Asti 41%.
How many goals will there be in Fezzanese vs Asti?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fezzanese vs Asti?
Our predicted score is Fezzanese 1–1 Asti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Fezzanese vs Asti?
Fezzanese vs Asti (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
