Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: Chisola to win @ 2.25 – our chance 47% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChisola to win ✓47% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.57
Celle Varazze vs Chisola preview and prediction
The match
Chisola travel to face Celle Varazze in the Serie D Girone A on Sunday 4 October (14:00 WAT). Celle Varazze are 18th with 4 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Chisola sit 2nd on 21 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Celle Varazze's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Ligorna 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Chisola's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Borgosesia 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Chisola 2–0 Celle Varazze.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Celle Varazze and 1.3 for Chisola. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 47%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Celle Varazze 30%, draw 22%, Chisola 47%.
Value angle: Chisola to win at 2.25 – 47% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Celle Varazze 0–1 Chisola. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celle Varazze30%fair 3.30 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Chisola47%fair 2.12 · @2.25
2.31Expected goals
0.98Celle Varazze xG
1.33Chisola xG
47%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Celle Varazze 1.0 – 1.3 Chisola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Celle Varazze vs Chisola?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Celle Varazze vs Chisola?
On our numbers Celle Varazze have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chisola 47%.
How many goals will there be in Celle Varazze vs Chisola?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celle Varazze vs Chisola?
Our predicted score is Celle Varazze 0–1 Chisola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Celle Varazze vs Chisola?
Celle Varazze vs Chisola (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
