Serie D Girone A · ItalySanremese vs Bra prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Bra to win @ 3.82 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sanremese 1.3 – 0.9 Bra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sanremese hold the edge on home soil with a 49% chance of winning, against 30% for Bra.
Sanremese have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Bra have 4 points from their last 6 (0W 4D 2L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. Sanremese come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.3 for Sanremese, 0.9 for Bra). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.27. For a bigger price, Bra to win at 3.82 is our value angle (30% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sanremese to win ✓ | 49% | 2.03 | 1.97 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | 2.01 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.15 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sanremese / FT Sanremese ✓ | 27% | 3.76 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.17 | – |
Form
Sanremese – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ Gozzano | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Saluzzo | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Sep | @ Chisola | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Celle Varazze | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Ligorna | 2–2 | D |
| 3 May | @ Sestri Levante | 2–0 | W |
Bra – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Borgosesia | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | vs Biellese | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Lascaris | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Fezzanese | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Apr | @ Juventus U23 | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Mar | @ Pontedera | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sanremese and Bra.
Serie D Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 11 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Chisola | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Biellese | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Derthona | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 11 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sanremese | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Saluzzo | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Imperia | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Asti | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sestri Levante | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lascaris | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Fezzanese | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Bra | 11 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 11 | -15 | 4 |
More Serie D Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sanremese vs Bra?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sanremese vs Bra?
On our numbers Sanremese have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bra 30%.
How many goals will there be in Sanremese vs Bra?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Sanremese vs Bra?
Sanremese vs Bra (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.