Serie D Girone A · ItalyLigorna vs Saluzzo prediction & analysis
Ligorna to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ligorna 1.9 – 0.8 Saluzzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ligorna are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 13% for Saluzzo.
Ligorna have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 2.0 per game. Saluzzo have 10 points from their last 6 (2W 4D 0L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.9 for Ligorna, 0.8 for Saluzzo). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 45%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Ligorna to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.90 is better than our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ligorna to win ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.90 ▲ |
| Double chance | Ligorna or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.14 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Half-time result | Ligorna ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.20 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna ✗ | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.98 | – |
Form
Ligorna – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ Chisola | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Celle Varazze | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Derthona | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Biellese | 1–3 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Sanremese | 2–2 | D |
| 17 May | vs Città di Varese | 5–3 | W |
Saluzzo – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs Derthona | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Sanremese | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Sep | vs Celle Varazze | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Borgosesia | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Biellese | 1–1 | D |
| 3 May | vs Derthona | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ligorna and Saluzzo.
Serie D Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 11 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Chisola | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Biellese | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Derthona | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 11 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sanremese | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Saluzzo | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Imperia | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Asti | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sestri Levante | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lascaris | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Fezzanese | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Bra | 11 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 11 | -15 | 4 |
More Serie D Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ligorna vs Saluzzo?
Our pick is Ligorna to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Ligorna vs Saluzzo?
On our numbers Ligorna have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Saluzzo 13%.
How many goals will there be in Ligorna vs Saluzzo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
When is Ligorna vs Saluzzo?
Ligorna vs Saluzzo (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.