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FAW Championship · Wales

Caerau (Ely)

WLWWW
1–3
FT

Pontypridd Town

WDDWL

Caerau (Ely) vs Pontypridd Town prediction & analysis

68%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.45Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultCaerau (Ely) to win ✗57% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.77

Caerau (Ely) vs Pontypridd Town preview and prediction

The match

Caerau (Ely) host Pontypridd Town in the FAW Championship on Friday 6 November, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT). Caerau (Ely) are 4th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Pontypridd Town sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table).

Form guide

Caerau (Ely)'s last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Caerphilly Athletic 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Pontypridd Town's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat llanelli AFC 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.

Caerau (Ely) arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.2 for Caerau (Ely) and 1.4 for Pontypridd Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 68%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Caerau (Ely) 2–1 Pontypridd Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Caerau (Ely)57%fair 1.75 · @1.80
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @3.76
Pontypridd Town24%fair 4.09 · @3.32
3.60Expected goals
2.21Caerau (Ely) xG
1.39Pontypridd Town xG
68%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%

From our goals model: Caerau (Ely) 2.2 – 1.4 Pontypridd Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCaerau (Ely) to win ✗57%1.751.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.471.45
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.521.46
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗55%1.811.56
Half-time resultCaerau (Ely) ahead at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Caerau (Ely) / FT Caerau (Ely) ✗36%2.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.77–

Form

Caerau (Ely) – last 6

WLWWWW
30 Oct@ Caerphilly Athletic1–0W
23 Octvs Llantwit Major0–2L
16 Octvs llanelli AFC6–0W
10 Oct@ Aberystwyth Town1–0W
2 Octvs Afan Lido2–0W
26 Sep@ Cardiff Draconians3–1W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Pontypridd Town – last 6

WDDWLW
30 Octvs llanelli AFC4–0W
23 Oct@ Newport City4–4D
10 Oct@ Baglan Dragons1–1D
6 Octvs Llantwit Major4–1W
3 Octvs Aberystwyth Town1–3L
25 Sep@ Caerphilly Athletic2–1W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Caerau (Ely) and Pontypridd Town.

Caerau (Ely) vs Pontypridd Town head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pontypridd Town13832+1327
2Aberystwyth Town11812+1825
3Swansea University11731+1924
4Caerau (Ely)13715+122
5Baglan Dragons13625020
6Ynyshir Albions11542+719
7Afan Lido14536-218
8Trethomas Bluebirds13454+317
9Treowen Stars12525-117
10Carmarthen Town13436-615
11Pontardawe Town11425-114
12Caerphilly Athletic13427-714
13Newport City11344+413
14Cardiff Draconians11335-512
15Llantwit Major12336-1212
16llanelli AFC140311-313

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub
FT Bangor City 1876 FC9 Gresford Athletic0 171%1.22X20%5.5529%8.20 1Bangor City 1876 FC to win 71%@1.22 ✓
FT Afan Lido3 Caerphilly Athletic2 141%2.29X21%3.54237%2.48 GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.40 ✓
FT Baglan Dragons2 Ynyshir Albions1 135%2.86X21%3.32244%2.12 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.20 ✓
FT llanelli AFC3 Pontardawe Town3 115%9.00X19%5.40266%1.23 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.32 ✓
FT Newport City2 Treowen Stars2 157%1.77X24%3.88219%3.34 1XNewport City or draw 81%@1.22 ✓
FT Bala Town1 Guilsfield0 160%1.59X20%4.05220%4.05 GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.46 ✗
FT Denbigh Town2 Mold Alexandra2 136%2.33X21%3.76243%2.34 GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.32 ✓
FT Penrhyncoch0 Caersws3 116%4.55X18%4.33266%1.49 2Caersws to win 66%@1.49 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Caerau (Ely) vs Pontypridd Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Caerau (Ely) vs Pontypridd Town?

On our numbers Caerau (Ely) have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Pontypridd Town 24%.

How many goals will there be in Caerau (Ely) vs Pontypridd Town?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Caerau (Ely) vs Pontypridd Town?

Our predicted score is Caerau (Ely) 2–1 Pontypridd Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Caerau (Ely) vs Pontypridd Town?

Caerau (Ely) vs Pontypridd Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.