llanelli AFC vs Pontardawe Town preview and prediction
The match
llanelli AFC host Pontardawe Town in the FAW Championship on Friday 6 November, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Stebonheath Park. llanelli AFC are 16th with 3 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Pontardawe Town sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
llanelli AFC's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Pontypridd Town 0–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Pontardawe Town's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Carmarthen Town 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Pontardawe Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.1 for llanelli AFC and 2.5 for Pontardawe Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: llanelli AFC 15%, draw 19%, Pontardawe Town 66%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.64.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: llanelli AFC 1–2 Pontardawe Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
llanelli AFC15%fair 6.68 · @9.00
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @5.40
Pontardawe Town66%fair 1.52 · @1.23
3.59Expected goals
1.13llanelli AFC xG
2.46Pontardawe Town xG
60%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
1–18%
0–37%
0–17%
From our goals model: llanelli AFC 1.1 – 2.5 Pontardawe Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pontardawe Town to win✗
66%
1.52
1.23
Double chance
Pontardawe Town or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.64
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.32
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.81
Half-time result
Pontardawe Town ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pontardawe Town / FT Pontardawe Town✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.60
–
Form
llanelli AFC – last 6
LLLLLL
30 Oct
@ Pontypridd Town
0–4
L
23 Oct
vs Afan Lido
0–3
L
16 Oct
@ Caerau (Ely)
0–6
L
10 Oct
@ Ynyshir Albions
2–6
L
2 Oct
vs Baglan Dragons
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Llantwit Major
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
3.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Pontardawe Town – last 6
WDDWWL
31 Oct
vs Carmarthen Town
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Llangennech
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Llantwit Major
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Trethomas Bluebirds
3–2
W
26 Sep
vs Treowen Stars
6–1
W
11 Sep
@ Swansea University
0–4
L
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between llanelli AFC and Pontardawe Town.
What is the prediction for llanelli AFC vs Pontardawe Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win llanelli AFC vs Pontardawe Town?
On our numbers llanelli AFC have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Pontardawe Town 66%.
How many goals will there be in llanelli AFC vs Pontardawe Town?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for llanelli AFC vs Pontardawe Town?
Our predicted score is llanelli AFC 1–2 Pontardawe Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is llanelli AFC vs Pontardawe Town?
llanelli AFC vs Pontardawe Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stebonheath Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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