FAW Championship · WalesPenrhyncoch vs Caersws prediction & analysis
Caersws to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Penrhyncoch 1.1 – 2.4 Caersws expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Caersws travel as clear favourites – 66% to win, against 16% for Penrhyncoch.
Penrhyncoch have taken 0 points from their last 6 matches (0W 0D 6L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 2.7 per game. Caersws have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Caersws come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.5 goals (1.1 for Penrhyncoch, 2.4 for Caersws). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Penrhyncoch have won 1, Caersws have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Caersws to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.49 is close to our fair price of 1.51.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Caersws to win ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.49 |
| Double chance | Caersws or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.18 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.42 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.46 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.79 |
| Half-time result | Caersws ahead at half-time ✗ | 50% | 2.02 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Caersws / FT Caersws ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.52 | – |
Form
Penrhyncoch – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Holyhead Hotspur | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Llanuwchllyn | 1–4 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Gresford Athletic | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Sep | @ Ruthin Town | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | vs Bala Town | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Bangor City 1876 FC | 1–5 | L |
Caersws – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Bangor City 1876 FC | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs Guilsfield | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Holyhead Hotspur | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Bala Town | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Llanuwchllyn | 5–2 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Brickfield Rangers | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 6 Apr 2026 | Caersws v Penrhyncoch | 1–2 |
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 14 | +19 | 34 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 14 | +7 | 27 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 13 | +15 | 25 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 14 | +3 | 24 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 13 | +10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 13 | +15 | 22 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 14 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Llanuwchllyn | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Rhyl | 14 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 12 | -26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 13 | -34 | 1 |
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What is the prediction for Penrhyncoch vs Caersws?
Our pick is Caersws to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Penrhyncoch vs Caersws?
On our numbers Penrhyncoch have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Caersws 66%.
How many goals will there be in Penrhyncoch vs Caersws?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Penrhyncoch vs Caersws?
Penrhyncoch vs Caersws (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.