FAW Championship · WalesDenbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.32 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Denbigh Town 1.8 – 1.9 Mold Alexandra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Mold Alexandra shade it despite being away from home – 43% to win, against 36% for Denbigh Town.
Denbigh Town have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 2.2 per game. Mold Alexandra have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 3.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. Mold Alexandra come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.7 goals (1.8 for Denbigh Town, 1.9 for Mold Alexandra). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (7%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.32 is close to our fair price of 1.42.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mold Alexandra to win ✗ | 43% | 2.31 | 2.34 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 71% | 1.42 | 1.32 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.78 |
| Half-time result | Mold Alexandra ahead at half-time ✗ | 35% | 2.87 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Mold Alexandra / FT Mold Alexandra ✗ | 26% | 3.80 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 12.23 | – |
Form
Denbigh Town – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Llanuwchllyn | 4–3 | W |
| 16 Oct | vs Bangor City 1876 FC | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Guilsfield | 2–0 | W |
| 2 Oct | vs Holyhead Hotspur | 2–4 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Brickfield Rangers | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs Bala Town | 5–2 | W |
Mold Alexandra – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Rhyl | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Brickfield Rangers | 4–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Newtown AFC | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Bala Town | 4–2 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Llanuwchllyn | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Gresford Athletic | 5–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Denbigh Town and Mold Alexandra.
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 14 | +19 | 34 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 14 | +7 | 27 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 13 | +15 | 25 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 14 | +3 | 24 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 13 | +10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 13 | +15 | 22 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 14 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Llanuwchllyn | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Rhyl | 14 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 12 | -26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 13 | -34 | 1 |
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What is the prediction for Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra?
On our numbers Denbigh Town have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mold Alexandra 43%.
How many goals will there be in Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
When is Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra?
Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.