Newport City vs Treowen Stars prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Newport City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewport City to win ✗57% · @1.77
Double chanceNewport City or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.39
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Newport City vs Treowen Stars preview and prediction
The match
Treowen Stars travel to face Newport City in the FAW Championship on Friday 6 November (20:30 WAT). Newport City are 13th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Treowen Stars sit 9th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Newport City's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Llantwit Major 3–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Treowen Stars's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Baglan Dragons 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished Newport City 2–3 Treowen Stars.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.2 for Newport City and 1.3 for Treowen Stars. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newport City 57%, draw 24%, Treowen Stars 19%.
Safer route: Newport City or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.39.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Newport City or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Newport City 2–1 Treowen Stars. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newport City57%fair 1.76 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.88
Treowen Stars19%fair 5.14 · @3.34
3.48Expected goals
2.21Newport City xG
1.27Treowen Stars xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Newport City 2.2 – 1.3 Treowen Stars expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Newport City vs Treowen Stars?
Our pick is Newport City or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Newport City vs Treowen Stars?
On our numbers Newport City have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Treowen Stars 19%.
How many goals will there be in Newport City vs Treowen Stars?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newport City vs Treowen Stars?
Our predicted score is Newport City 2–1 Treowen Stars, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Newport City vs Treowen Stars?
Newport City vs Treowen Stars (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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