Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions preview and prediction
The match
The FAW Championship sees Baglan Dragons take on Ynyshir Albions on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT). Baglan Dragons are 5th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Ynyshir Albions sit 6th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Baglan Dragons's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Treowen Stars 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Ynyshir Albions's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Swansea University 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Ynyshir Albions arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Baglan Dragons and 1.4 for Ynyshir Albions. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Baglan Dragons 1–1 Ynyshir Albions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baglan Dragons35%fair 2.83 · @2.86
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.32
Ynyshir Albions44%fair 2.28 · @2.12
2.65Expected goals
1.23Baglan Dragons xG
1.42Ynyshir Albions xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Baglan Dragons 1.2 – 1.4 Ynyshir Albions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ynyshir Albions to win✗
44%
2.28
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.59
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.34
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ynyshir Albions / FT Ynyshir Albions✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.99
–
Form
Baglan Dragons – last 6
LWDWLL
30 Oct
vs Treowen Stars
0–1
L
17 Oct
@ Llantwit Fardre
3–1
W
10 Oct
vs Pontypridd Town
1–1
D
2 Oct
@ llanelli AFC
2–1
W
25 Sep
vs Carmarthen Town
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Cardiff Draconians
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ynyshir Albions – last 6
WLWWDD
31 Oct
vs Swansea University
4–2
W
16 Oct
@ Cardiff MET
0–4
L
10 Oct
vs llanelli AFC
6–2
W
3 Oct
@ Treowen Stars
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Trethomas Bluebirds
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Carmarthen Town
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baglan Dragons and Ynyshir Albions.
What is the prediction for Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions?
On our numbers Baglan Dragons have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ynyshir Albions 44%.
How many goals will there be in Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions?
Our predicted score is Baglan Dragons 1–1 Ynyshir Albions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions?
Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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