FAW Championship · WalesAfan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Afan Lido 1.7 – 1.6 Caerphilly Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Afan Lido and Caerphilly Athletic on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Afan Lido have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.0 per game. Caerphilly Athletic have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. Caerphilly Athletic come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.2 goals (1.7 for Afan Lido, 1.6 for Caerphilly Athletic). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.50.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Afan Lido to win ✓ | 41% | 2.44 | 2.29 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 66% | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.43 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.61 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 38% | 2.64 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Afan Lido / FT Afan Lido ✓ | 24% | 4.16 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.72 | – |
Form
Afan Lido – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Cardiff Draconians | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Oct | @ llanelli AFC | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Penybont | 2–3 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Swansea University | 5–5 | D |
| 2 Oct | @ Caerau (Ely) | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs Newport City | 0–0 | D |
Caerphilly Athletic – last 6
| 30 Oct | vs Caerau (Ely) | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Oct | @ Carmarthen Town | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Chepstow Town | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs Newport City | 3–2 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Swansea University | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs Pontypridd Town | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Afan Lido and Caerphilly Athletic.
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pontypridd Town | 13 | +13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Aberystwyth Town | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Swansea University | 11 | +19 | 24 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 13 | +1 | 22 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 13 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 11 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Afan Lido | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 13 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Treowen Stars | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Carmarthen Town | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 11 |  Pontardawe Town | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Newport City | 11 | +4 | 13 |
| 14 |  Cardiff Draconians | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 12 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 14 | -31 | 3 |
More FAW Championship predictions
League hub
Bangor City 1876 FC9
Gresford Athletic0
Bala Town1
Guilsfield0
Denbigh Town2
Mold Alexandra2
Penrhyncoch0
Caersws3
Ruthin Town0
Newtown AFC2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic?
On our numbers Afan Lido have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Caerphilly Athletic 37%.
How many goals will there be in Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
When is Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic?
Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.