Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.52 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.52Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewtown AFC to win ✓64% · @1.41
Double chanceNewtown AFC or draw ✓86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✓12% · fair 8.42
Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC preview and prediction
The match
Ruthin Town host Newtown AFC in the FAW Championship on Friday 6 November, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT). Ruthin Town are 14th with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Newtown AFC sit 2nd on 30 points (in the top four). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ruthin Town's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Gresford Athletic 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Newtown AFC's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Buckley Town 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Newtown AFC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for Ruthin Town and 2.0 for Newtown AFC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ruthin Town 14%, draw 22%, Newtown AFC 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.52. Predicted score: Ruthin Town 0–2 Newtown AFC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ruthin Town14%fair 7.38 · @5.55
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @4.30
Newtown AFC64%fair 1.55 · @1.41
2.84Expected goals
0.82Ruthin Town xG
2.02Newtown AFC xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Ruthin Town 0.8 – 2.0 Newtown AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newtown AFC to win✓
64%
1.55
1.41
Double chance
Newtown AFC or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.52
Half-time result
Newtown AFC ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newtown AFC / FT Newtown AFC✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✓
12%
8.42
–
Form
Ruthin Town – last 6
WDDWLL
31 Oct
@ Gresford Athletic
2–1
W
9 Oct
vs Rhyl
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Buckley Town
1–1
D
25 Sep
vs Penrhyncoch
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Porthmadog
0–3
L
4 Sep
vs Caersws
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Newtown AFC – last 6
WDWDWL
31 Oct
vs Buckley Town
2–0
W
24 Oct
@ Rhyl
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Llanuwchllyn
7–0
W
10 Oct
vs Bangor City 1876 FC
0–0
D
3 Oct
@ Mold Alexandra
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Porthmadog
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ruthin Town and Newtown AFC.
What is the prediction for Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.
Who will win Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC?
On our numbers Ruthin Town have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Newtown AFC 64%.
How many goals will there be in Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC?
Our predicted score is Ruthin Town 0–2 Newtown AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC?
Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.