Cardiff Draconians vs Newport City prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewport City to win ✗46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Cardiff Draconians vs Newport City preview and prediction
The match
Cardiff Draconians host Newport City in the FAW Championship on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT). Cardiff Draconians are 14th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Newport City sit 13th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cardiff Draconians's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Caerau (Ely) 1–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Newport City's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Afan Lido 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Cardiff Draconians and 1.5 for Newport City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cardiff Draconians 35%, draw 19%, Newport City 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Cardiff Draconians 1–1 Newport City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cardiff Draconians35%fair 2.89 · @2.50
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.60
Newport City46%fair 2.17 · @2.25
2.75Expected goals
1.25Cardiff Draconians xG
1.50Newport City xG
63%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Cardiff Draconians 1.2 – 1.5 Newport City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newport City to win✗
46%
2.17
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newport City / FT Newport City✗
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Form
Cardiff Draconians – last 6
LWWLDL
26 Sep
vs Caerau (Ely)
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Baglan Dragons
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs llanelli AFC
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs Pontypridd Town
1–4
L
7 Aug
@ Caerphilly Athletic
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Ynyshir Albions
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Newport City – last 6
DLLWLW
25 Sep
@ Afan Lido
0–0
D
28 Aug
vs Ynyshir Albions
0–1
L
21 Aug
vs Baglan Dragons
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Pontardawe Town
4–0
W
8 Aug
vs Carmarthen Town
1–2
L
31 Jul
@ llanelli AFC
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff Draconians and Newport City.
What is the prediction for Cardiff Draconians vs Newport City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cardiff Draconians vs Newport City?
On our numbers Cardiff Draconians have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Newport City 46%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff Draconians vs Newport City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff Draconians vs Newport City?
Our predicted score is Cardiff Draconians 1–1 Newport City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cardiff Draconians vs Newport City?
Cardiff Draconians vs Newport City (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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