FAW Championship · WalesMold Alexandra vs Newtown AFC prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mold Alexandra 1.5 – 1.6 Newtown AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Mold Alexandra and Newtown AFC on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 42% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Mold Alexandra have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Newtown AFC have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.5 for Mold Alexandra, 1.6 for Newtown AFC). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Mold Alexandra have won 1, Newtown AFC have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.54.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Newtown AFC to win ✓ | 42% | 2.38 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Newtown AFC / FT Newtown AFC ✗ | 24% | 4.12 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✓ | 9% | 11.45 | – |
Form
Mold Alexandra – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Bala Town | 4–2 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Llanuwchllyn | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Gresford Athletic | 5–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | vs Bangor City 1876 FC | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Ruthin Town | 4–0 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs Buckley Town | 1–0 | W |
Newtown AFC – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Porthmadog | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Holyhead Hotspur | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Denbigh Town | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Bala Town | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | vs Llanuwchllyn | 4–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Guilsfield | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 3 Apr 2026 | Newtown AFC v Mold Alexandra | 1–2 |
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 14 | +19 | 34 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 14 | +7 | 27 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 13 | +15 | 25 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 14 | +3 | 24 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 13 | +10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 13 | +15 | 22 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 14 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Llanuwchllyn | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Rhyl | 14 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 12 | -26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 13 | -34 | 1 |
More FAW Championship predictions
League hub
Cardiff Draconians1
Newport City1
Pontypridd Town1
Aberystwyth Town3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mold Alexandra vs Newtown AFC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Mold Alexandra vs Newtown AFC?
On our numbers Mold Alexandra have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Newtown AFC 42%.
How many goals will there be in Mold Alexandra vs Newtown AFC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is Mold Alexandra vs Newtown AFC?
Mold Alexandra vs Newtown AFC (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.