FAW Championship · WalesBuckley Town vs Ruthin Town prediction & analysis
Buckley Town to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Buckley Town 2.4 – 1.2 Ruthin Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Buckley Town are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 15% for Ruthin Town.
Buckley Town have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Ruthin Town have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 2.3 conceded. Buckley Town come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.6 goals (2.4 for Buckley Town, 1.2 for Ruthin Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (8%), 1–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Buckley Town have won 0, Ruthin Town have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Buckley Town to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.59.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Buckley Town to win ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.40 |
| Double chance | Buckley Town or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Half-time result | Buckley Town ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.06 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Buckley Town / FT Buckley Town ✗ | 43% | 2.35 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.52 | – |
Form
Buckley Town – last 6
| 25 Sep | @ Bangor City 1876 FC | 6–2 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Rhyl | 3–3 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Penrhyncoch | 5–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Caersws | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Guilsfield | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Aug | @ Mold Alexandra | 0–1 | L |
Ruthin Town – last 6
| 25 Sep | vs Penrhyncoch | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Porthmadog | 0–3 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Caersws | 0–3 | L |
| 31 Aug | @ Brickfield Rangers | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Mold Alexandra | 0–4 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Guilsfield | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 27 Mar 2026 | Ruthin Town v Buckley Town | 1–0 |
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 14 | +19 | 34 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 14 | +7 | 27 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 13 | +15 | 25 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 14 | +3 | 24 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 13 | +10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 13 | +15 | 22 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 14 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Llanuwchllyn | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Rhyl | 14 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 12 | -26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 13 | -34 | 1 |
More FAW Championship predictions
League hub
Cardiff Draconians1
Newport City1
Pontypridd Town1
Aberystwyth Town3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Buckley Town vs Ruthin Town?
Our pick is Buckley Town to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Buckley Town vs Ruthin Town?
On our numbers Buckley Town have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ruthin Town 15%.
How many goals will there be in Buckley Town vs Ruthin Town?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Buckley Town vs Ruthin Town?
Buckley Town vs Ruthin Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.