FAW Championship · WalesPorthmadog vs Bangor City 1876 FC prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Bangor City 1876 FC to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Porthmadog 1.8 – 1.9 Bangor City 1876 FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Porthmadog and Bangor City 1876 FC on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 42% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Porthmadog have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Bangor City 1876 FC have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.7 goals (1.8 for Porthmadog, 1.9 for Bangor City 1876 FC). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.53. For a bigger price, Bangor City 1876 FC to win at 2.62 is our value angle (42% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bangor City 1876 FC to win ✗ | 42% | 2.40 | 2.62 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 89% | 1.13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 35% | 2.87 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bangor City 1876 FC / FT Bangor City 1876 FC ✗ | 25% | 3.97 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 12.48 | – |
Form
Porthmadog – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Newtown AFC | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Ruthin Town | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Bala Town | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | @ Holyhead Hotspur | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Aug | vs Caersws | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | @ Denbigh Town | 3–2 | W |
Bangor City 1876 FC – last 6
| 25 Sep | vs Buckley Town | 2–6 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Penrhyncoch | 5–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Rhyl | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Aug | @ Mold Alexandra | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Brickfield Rangers | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Aug | @ Holyhead Hotspur | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Porthmadog and Bangor City 1876 FC.
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 14 | +19 | 34 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 14 | +7 | 27 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 13 | +15 | 25 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 14 | +3 | 24 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 13 | +10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 13 | +15 | 22 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 14 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Llanuwchllyn | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Rhyl | 14 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 12 | -26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 13 | -34 | 1 |
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Aberystwyth Town3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Porthmadog vs Bangor City 1876 FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Porthmadog vs Bangor City 1876 FC?
On our numbers Porthmadog have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bangor City 1876 FC 42%.
How many goals will there be in Porthmadog vs Bangor City 1876 FC?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is Porthmadog vs Bangor City 1876 FC?
Porthmadog vs Bangor City 1876 FC (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.