FAW Championship · Wales · USW Sports ParkPontypridd Town vs Aberystwyth Town prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Pontypridd Town 1.8 – 2.2 Aberystwyth Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Aberystwyth Town shade it despite being away from home – 47% to win, against 33% for Pontypridd Town.
Pontypridd Town have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Aberystwyth Town have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 4.0 goals (1.8 for Pontypridd Town, 2.2 for Aberystwyth Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (8%), 1–1 (7%), 2–2 (7%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is better than our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Aberystwyth Town to win ✓ | 47% | 2.13 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 70% | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Half-time result | Aberystwyth Town ahead at half-time ✓ | 38% | 2.64 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Aberystwyth Town / FT Aberystwyth Town ✓ | 29% | 3.41 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 12.61 | – |
Form
Pontypridd Town – last 6
| 25 Sep | @ Caerphilly Athletic | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Afan Lido | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ Swansea University | 4–4 | D |
| 21 Aug | vs Trethomas Bluebirds | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Cardiff Draconians | 4–1 | W |
| 7 Aug | vs Pontardawe Town | 3–2 | W |
Aberystwyth Town – last 6
| 25 Sep | vs Swansea University | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Caerphilly Athletic | 3–2 | W |
| 31 Aug | vs llanelli AFC | 4–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | vs Pontardawe Town | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Llantwit Major | 5–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Treowen Stars | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pontypridd Town and Aberystwyth Town.
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pontypridd Town | 13 | +13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Aberystwyth Town | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Swansea University | 11 | +19 | 24 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 13 | +1 | 22 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 13 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 11 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Afan Lido | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 13 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Treowen Stars | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Carmarthen Town | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 11 |  Pontardawe Town | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Newport City | 11 | +4 | 13 |
| 14 |  Cardiff Draconians | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 12 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 14 | -31 | 3 |
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Brickfield Rangers3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Pontypridd Town vs Aberystwyth Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Pontypridd Town vs Aberystwyth Town?
On our numbers Pontypridd Town have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Aberystwyth Town 47%.
How many goals will there be in Pontypridd Town vs Aberystwyth Town?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
When is Pontypridd Town vs Aberystwyth Town?
Pontypridd Town vs Aberystwyth Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at USW Sports Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.