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Today's tips
FAW Championship · Wales

Newport City

LWLWL
0–1
FT

Ynyshir Albions

LDWLW

Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions prediction & analysis

59%
Footrivo pick

Newport City to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.73Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNewport City to win ✗59% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.33

Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions preview and prediction

The match

Ynyshir Albions travel to face Newport City in the FAW Championship on Friday 28 August (19:30 WAT). Newport City are 13th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Ynyshir Albions sit 6th on 19 points (in the top half).

Form guide

Newport City's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Baglan Dragons 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Ynyshir Albions's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Caerphilly Athletic 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Newport City and 1.0 for Ynyshir Albions. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 48%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Newport City to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Newport City 1–0 Ynyshir Albions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Newport City59%fair 1.70 · @1.73
Draw17%fair 5.86 · @3.80
Ynyshir Albions24%fair 4.15 · @3.70
2.82Expected goals
1.81Newport City xG
1.02Ynyshir Albions xG
48%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
0–06%

From our goals model: Newport City 1.8 – 1.0 Ynyshir Albions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNewport City to win ✗59%1.701.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.211.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.91–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
Half-time resultNewport City ahead at half-time ✗41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Newport City / FT Newport City ✗35%2.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%9.33–

Form

Newport City – last 6

LWLWLL
21 Augvs Baglan Dragons0–1L
15 Aug@ Pontardawe Town4–0W
8 Augvs Carmarthen Town1–2L
31 Jul@ llanelli AFC4–1W
8 Julvs Newport County0–5L
3 Apr@ Ammanford AFC0–4L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Ynyshir Albions – last 6

LDWLWL
22 Aug@ Caerphilly Athletic1–2L
7 Aug@ Caerau (Ely)1–1D
1 Augvs Cardiff Draconians1–0W
24 Mar@ Cardiff Draconians1–4L
6 Mar@ Cwmbran Celtic3–1W
24 Febvs Llantwit Major2–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Newport City and Ynyshir Albions.

Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pontypridd Town13832+1327
2Aberystwyth Town11812+1825
3Swansea University11731+1924
4Caerau (Ely)13715+122
5Baglan Dragons13625020
6Ynyshir Albions11542+719
7Afan Lido14536-218
8Trethomas Bluebirds13454+317
9Treowen Stars12525-117
10Carmarthen Town13436-615
11Pontardawe Town11425-114
12Caerphilly Athletic13427-714
13Newport City11344+413
14Cardiff Draconians11335-512
15Llantwit Major12336-1212
16llanelli AFC140311-313

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub
FT Baglan Dragons3 Caerau (Ely)1 110%5.00X21%3.75269%1.53 2Caerau (Ely) to win 69%@1.53 ✗
FT llanelli AFC2 Carmarthen Town2 119%3.40X15%3.60265%1.75 2Carmarthen Town to win 65%@1.75 ✗
FT Bangor City 1876 FC2 Brickfield Rangers1 138%2.10X20%4.00242%2.60 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.44 ✓
FT Buckley Town3 Guilsfield1 126%3.30X13%3.60261%1.83 2Guilsfield to win 61%@1.83 ✗
FT Newtown AFC4 Llanuwchllyn0 168%1.33X21%4.75211%6.50 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.40 ✓
FT Penrhyncoch2 Denbigh Town2 119%3.90X18%3.75263%1.67 GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.40 ✓
FT Porthmadog1 Caersws3 150%2.10X19%3.60230%2.70 GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.40 ✓
FT Rhyl1 Bala Town3 134%2.55X19%3.90247%2.15 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 60%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions?

Our pick is Newport City to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions?

On our numbers Newport City have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ynyshir Albions 24%.

How many goals will there be in Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions?

Our predicted score is Newport City 1–0 Ynyshir Albions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions?

Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.