FAW Championship · Wales · Latham ParkNewtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Newtown AFC 2.6 – 1.1 Llanuwchllyn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Newtown AFC are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 11% for Llanuwchllyn.
Newtown AFC have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.7 per game. Llanuwchllyn have 3 points from their last 3 (1W 0D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 3.7 conceded. Newtown AFC come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.7 goals (2.6 for Newtown AFC, 1.1 for Llanuwchllyn). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%), 3–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.45.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Newtown AFC to win ✓ | 68% | 1.46 | 1.33 |
| Double chance | Newtown AFC or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Half-time result | Newtown AFC ahead at half-time ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Newtown AFC / FT Newtown AFC ✓ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.94 | – |
Form
Newtown AFC – last 6
| 15 Aug | vs Guilsfield | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Aug | vs Penrhyncoch | 5–0 | W |
| 2 Aug | @ Gresford Athletic | 3–0 | W |
| 8 Apr | @ Holywell | 0–6 | L |
| 3 Apr | vs Mold Alexandra | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Mar | vs Rhyl | 6–1 | W |
Llanuwchllyn – last 3
| 15 Aug | @ Bangor City 1876 FC | 0–5 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Buckley Town | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Brickfield Rangers | 1–5 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newtown AFC and Llanuwchllyn.
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 14 | +19 | 34 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 14 | +7 | 27 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 13 | +15 | 25 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 14 | +3 | 24 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 13 | +10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 13 | +15 | 22 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 14 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Llanuwchllyn | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Rhyl | 14 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 12 | -26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 13 | -34 | 1 |
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Ynyshir Albions1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn?
On our numbers Newtown AFC have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Llanuwchllyn 11%.
How many goals will there be in Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn?
Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Latham Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.