Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPorthmadog to win ✗50% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.77
Porthmadog vs Caersws preview and prediction
The match
Caersws travel to face Porthmadog in the FAW Championship on Friday 28 August (19:45 WAT). Porthmadog are 3rd with 27 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Caersws sit 6th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Porthmadog's last 4: WDWW Most recently they beat Denbigh Town 3–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Caersws's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Rhyl 2–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Porthmadog arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.9 for Porthmadog and 1.4 for Caersws. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Porthmadog 1–1 Caersws. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Porthmadog50%fair 1.99 · @2.10
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.60
Caersws30%fair 3.28 · @2.70
3.29Expected goals
1.88Porthmadog xG
1.41Caersws xG
67%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Porthmadog 1.9 – 1.4 Caersws expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Porthmadog to win✗
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Porthmadog ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Porthmadog / FT Porthmadog✗
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.77
–
Form
Porthmadog – last 4
WDWW
21 Aug
@ Denbigh Town
3–2
W
15 Aug
@ Buckley Town
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Rhyl
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Penrhyncoch
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Caersws – last 6
LWDWLW
15 Aug
@ Rhyl
2–4
L
8 Aug
vs Gresford Athletic
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Mold Alexandra
2–2
D
13 Apr
vs Buckley Town
3–2
W
6 Apr
vs Penrhyncoch
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Gresford Athletic
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Porthmadog and Caersws.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Porthmadog vs Caersws?
On our numbers Porthmadog have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Caersws 30%.
How many goals will there be in Porthmadog vs Caersws?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Porthmadog vs Caersws?
Our predicted score is Porthmadog 1–1 Caersws, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Porthmadog vs Caersws?
Porthmadog vs Caersws (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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