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Today's tips
FAW Championship · Wales

Penrhyncoch

LLLWL
2–2
FT

Denbigh Town

LLLWW

Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town prediction & analysis

69%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultDenbigh Town to win ✗63% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54

Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town preview and prediction

The match

Denbigh Town travel to face Penrhyncoch in the FAW Championship on Friday 28 August (19:45 WAT). Penrhyncoch are 16th with 1 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Denbigh Town sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Penrhyncoch's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Brickfield Rangers 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.

Denbigh Town's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Porthmadog 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Denbigh Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.6.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Denbigh Town 1–0 Penrhyncoch.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.4 for Penrhyncoch and 2.6 for Denbigh Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Penrhyncoch 1–2 Denbigh Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Penrhyncoch19%fair 5.37 · @3.90
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @3.75
Denbigh Town63%fair 1.59 · @1.67
4.00Expected goals
1.40Penrhyncoch xG
2.60Denbigh Town xG
69%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–26%
2–26%
0–35%

From our goals model: Penrhyncoch 1.4 – 2.6 Denbigh Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDenbigh Town to win ✗63%1.591.67 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82%1.221.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.441.40
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓57%1.77–
Half-time resultDenbigh Town ahead at half-time ✗49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Denbigh Town / FT Denbigh Town ✗42%2.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.54–

Form

Penrhyncoch – last 5

LLLWL
22 Aug@ Brickfield Rangers0–2L
8 Aug@ Newtown AFC0–5L
1 Augvs Porthmadog1–3L
6 Apr@ Caersws2–1W
3 Apr@ Denbigh Town0–1L
0.6Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Denbigh Town – last 6

LLLWWW
21 Augvs Porthmadog2–3L
14 Aug@ Ruthin Town1–2L
8 Augvs Bangor City 1876 FC1–2L
1 Aug@ Buckley Town4–2W
3 Jul@ Colwyn Bay2–1W
3 Aprvs Penrhyncoch1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026Denbigh Town v Penrhyncoch1–0
Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers141112+1934
2Newtown AFC13931+1930
3Porthmadog14833+727
4Mold Alexandra13742+1525
5Bala Town14734+324
6Caersws13652+1023
7Bangor City 1876 FC13643+1522
8Guilsfield14464+118
9Buckley Town14437015
10Holyhead Hotspur13436-315
11Llanuwchllyn14437-915
12Denbigh Town13427-214
13Rhyl14275-313
14Ruthin Town13337-1212
15Gresford Athletic12219-267
16Penrhyncoch130112-341

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub
FT Baglan Dragons3 Caerau (Ely)1 110%5.00X21%3.75269%1.53 2Caerau (Ely) to win 69%@1.53 ✗
FT llanelli AFC2 Carmarthen Town2 119%3.40X15%3.60265%1.75 2Carmarthen Town to win 65%@1.75 ✗
FT Newport City0 Ynyshir Albions1 159%1.73X17%3.80224%3.70 1Newport City to win 59%@1.73 ✗
FT Bangor City 1876 FC2 Brickfield Rangers1 138%2.10X20%4.00242%2.60 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.44 ✓
FT Buckley Town3 Guilsfield1 126%3.30X13%3.60261%1.83 2Guilsfield to win 61%@1.83 ✗
FT Newtown AFC4 Llanuwchllyn0 168%1.33X21%4.75211%6.50 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.40 ✓
FT Porthmadog1 Caersws3 150%2.10X19%3.60230%2.70 GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.40 ✓
FT Rhyl1 Bala Town3 134%2.55X19%3.90247%2.15 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 60%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town?

On our numbers Penrhyncoch have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Denbigh Town 63%.

How many goals will there be in Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town?

Our predicted score is Penrhyncoch 1–2 Denbigh Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town?

Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.