Bangor City 1876 FC vs Brickfield Rangers prediction & analysis

Very little separates Bangor City 1876 FC and Brickfield Rangers on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 42% for the visitors and 20% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Bangor City 1876 FC have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches (3W 0D 2L), scoring 2.4 and conceding 2.0 per game. Brickfield Rangers have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 3.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. Brickfield Rangers come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.7 goals (1.8 for Bangor City 1876 FC, 1.9 for Brickfield Rangers). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.48. For a bigger price, Brickfield Rangers to win at 2.60 is our value angle (42% on our numbers).