llanelli AFC vs Carmarthen Town prediction & analysis

llanelli AFC vs Carmarthen Town preview and prediction

The match

The FAW Championship sees llanelli AFC take on Carmarthen Town on Friday 28 August, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stebonheath Park. llanelli AFC are 16th with 3 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Carmarthen Town sit 10th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

llanelli AFC's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Cardiff Draconians 2–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Carmarthen Town's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Treowen Stars 2–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game.

Carmarthen Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 1.6 for llanelli AFC and 2.9 for Carmarthen Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 83% and both teams to score at 68%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

• Win chances: llanelli AFC 19%, draw 15%, Carmarthen Town 65%.
• Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.44.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Carmarthen Town to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: llanelli AFC 1–2 Carmarthen Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.