Deportiva Minera vs Castellonense prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Deportiva Minera or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Deportiva Minera to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportiva Minera to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceDeportiva Minera or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.40
Deportiva Minera vs Castellonense preview and prediction
The match
Deportiva Minera host Castellonense in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 10:30 (WAT). Deportiva Minera are 1st with 20 points from 9 games (top of the table), while Castellonense sit 4th on 16 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Deportiva Minera's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat La Nucía 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Castellonense's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Real Murcia II 3–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for Deportiva Minera and 0.6 for Castellonense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Safer route: Deportiva Minera or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Deportiva Minera to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportiva Minera or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Deportiva Minera 1–0 Castellonense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportiva Minera58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.10
Castellonense20%fair 4.88 · @3.90
2.00Expected goals
1.37Deportiva Minera xG
0.63Castellonense xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportiva Minera 1.4 – 0.6 Castellonense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportiva Minera to win✓
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Deportiva Minera or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportiva Minera / FT Deportiva Minera✓
32%
3.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.40
–
Form
Deportiva Minera – last 6
WLDDWW
4 Oct
vs La Nucía
2–0
W
27 Sep
@ Alcoyano
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Orihuela
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Mallorca II
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Peña Deportiva
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Eldense B
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Castellonense – last 6
WLWWWD
4 Oct
vs Real Murcia II
3–0
W
27 Sep
@ Lorca Deportiva
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Cieza
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Poblense
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Ucam Murcia
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs Saguntino
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportiva Minera and Castellonense.
What is the prediction for Deportiva Minera vs Castellonense?
Our pick is Deportiva Minera or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportiva Minera vs Castellonense?
On our numbers Deportiva Minera have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Castellonense 20%.
How many goals will there be in Deportiva Minera vs Castellonense?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportiva Minera vs Castellonense?
Our predicted score is Deportiva Minera 1–0 Castellonense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Deportiva Minera vs Castellonense?
Deportiva Minera vs Castellonense (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
