Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · SpainCieza vs Intercity prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
Value bet: Intercity to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cieza 1.2 – 1.0 Intercity expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Cieza hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 33% for Intercity.
Cieza have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.7 per game. Intercity have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.2 for Cieza, 1.0 for Intercity). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (11%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is better than our fair price of 1.82, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Intercity to win at 3.30 is our value angle (33% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cieza to win ✓ | 44% | 2.26 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cieza / FT Cieza ✓ | 23% | 4.27 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.47 | – |
Form
Cieza – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Orihuela | 4–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Atlético Baleares | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Castellonense | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Elche II | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Alcoyano | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Santomera | 2–1 | W |
Intercity – last 6
| 4 Oct | vs Yeclano | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Ucam Murcia | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Lorca Deportiva | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Atlético Baleares | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Castellón II | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Aug | vs Levante II | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cieza and Intercity.
Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportiva Minera | 9 | +7 | 20 |
| 2 |  Ucam Murcia | 10 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 |  Castellón II | 9 | +10 | 18 |
| 4 |  Castellonense | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  La Nucía | 9 | +1 | 15 |
| 6 |  Cieza | 9 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Alcoyano | 9 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Lorca Deportiva | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Intercity | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Atlético Baleares | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  Poblense | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 |  Orihuela | 10 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 |  Mallorca II | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 |  Yeclano | 10 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Real Murcia II | 9 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Elche II | 9 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Valencia II | 9 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 |  Peña Deportiva | 10 | -6 | 7 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cieza vs Intercity?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Cieza vs Intercity?
On our numbers Cieza have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Intercity 33%.
How many goals will there be in Cieza vs Intercity?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Cieza vs Intercity?
Cieza vs Intercity (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.