Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · SpainPeña Deportiva vs Orihuela prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Value bet: Orihuela to win @ 2.45 – our chance 47% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Peña Deportiva 1.2 – 1.6 Orihuela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Orihuela shade it despite being away from home – 47% to win, against 31% for Peña Deportiva.
Peña Deportiva have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 2.2 per game. Orihuela have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded. Orihuela come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.2 for Peña Deportiva, 1.6 for Orihuela). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.71. For a bigger price, Orihuela to win at 2.45 is our value angle (47% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Orihuela to win ✗ | 47% | 2.14 | 2.45 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.71 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 41% | 2.43 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Orihuela / FT Orihuela ✗ | 27% | 3.68 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.44 | – |
Form
Peña Deportiva – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Valencia II | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Real Murcia II | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Elche II | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Yeclano | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Deportiva Minera | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Aug | @ Ibiza | 0–5 | L |
Orihuela – last 6
| 4 Oct | vs Cieza | 0–4 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Castellón II | 1–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Deportiva Minera | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Sep | vs Real Murcia | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Lorca Deportiva | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Real Murcia II | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peña Deportiva and Orihuela.
Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportiva Minera | 9 | +7 | 20 |
| 2 |  Ucam Murcia | 10 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 |  Castellón II | 9 | +10 | 18 |
| 4 |  Castellonense | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  La Nucía | 9 | +1 | 15 |
| 6 |  Cieza | 9 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Alcoyano | 9 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Lorca Deportiva | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Intercity | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Atlético Baleares | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  Poblense | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 |  Orihuela | 10 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 |  Mallorca II | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 |  Yeclano | 10 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Real Murcia II | 9 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Elche II | 9 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Valencia II | 9 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 |  Peña Deportiva | 10 | -6 | 7 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela?
On our numbers Peña Deportiva have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Orihuela 47%.
How many goals will there be in Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela?
Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.