Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · SpainReal Murcia II vs Yeclano prediction & analysis
Yeclano or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Yeclano to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Real Murcia II 0.6 – 1.6 Yeclano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Yeclano travel as clear favourites – 63% to win, against 14% for Real Murcia II.
Real Murcia II have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.0 per game. Yeclano have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. Yeclano come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.2 goals (0.6 for Real Murcia II, 1.6 for Yeclano). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (18%), 0–2 (14%), 0–0 (11%).
Our pick is Yeclano or draw at a 86% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Yeclano to win at 1.95 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Yeclano to win ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Yeclano or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Yeclano / FT Yeclano ✗ | 38% | 2.62 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 18% | 5.63 | – |
Form
Real Murcia II – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Castellonense | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Peña Deportiva | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Mallorca II | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ La Nucía | 1–5 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Orihuela | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jun | @ Pamplona | 1–1 | D |
Yeclano – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Intercity | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Elche II | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs La Nucía | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Peña Deportiva | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Atlético Baleares | 1–0 | W |
| 3 May | vs Estepona | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia II and Yeclano.
Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportiva Minera | 9 | +7 | 20 |
| 2 |  Ucam Murcia | 10 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 |  Castellón II | 9 | +10 | 18 |
| 4 |  Castellonense | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  La Nucía | 9 | +1 | 15 |
| 6 |  Cieza | 9 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Alcoyano | 9 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Lorca Deportiva | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Intercity | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Atlético Baleares | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  Poblense | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 |  Orihuela | 10 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 |  Mallorca II | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 |  Yeclano | 10 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Real Murcia II | 9 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Elche II | 9 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Valencia II | 9 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 |  Peña Deportiva | 10 | -6 | 7 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Real Murcia II vs Yeclano?
Our pick is Yeclano or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Real Murcia II vs Yeclano?
On our numbers Real Murcia II have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Yeclano 63%.
How many goals will there be in Real Murcia II vs Yeclano?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Real Murcia II vs Yeclano?
Real Murcia II vs Yeclano (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.