Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Ucam Murcia to win @ 1.85 – our chance 65% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUcam Murcia to win ✗65% · @1.85
Double chanceUcam Murcia or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.58
Ucam Murcia vs Intercity preview and prediction
The match
Ucam Murcia host Intercity in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio de La Condomina. Ucam Murcia are 2nd with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Intercity sit 9th on 13 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Ucam Murcia's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Atlético Baleares 4–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Intercity's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Lorca Deportiva 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Intercity arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Ucam Murcia and 0.8 for Intercity. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Ucam Murcia to win at 1.85 – 65% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ucam Murcia or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ucam Murcia 1–0 Intercity. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ucam Murcia65%fair 1.54 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.10
Intercity15%fair 6.71 · @3.90
2.67Expected goals
1.90Ucam Murcia xG
0.77Intercity xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ucam Murcia 1.9 – 0.8 Intercity expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ucam Murcia to win✗
65%
1.54
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Ucam Murcia or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Ucam Murcia ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ucam Murcia / FT Ucam Murcia✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.58
–
Form
Ucam Murcia – last 6
WWLLLL
20 Sep
@ Atlético Baleares
4–1
W
13 Sep
vs Valencia II
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Castellonense
1–2
L
3 May
@ Xerez
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Real Jaén
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ La Unión Atlético
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Intercity – last 6
DDWLWW
20 Sep
@ Lorca Deportiva
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Atlético Baleares
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Castellón II
2–1
W
14 Aug
vs Levante II
0–1
L
11 Aug
vs Jove Español
2–1
W
3 May
vs Colonia Moscardó
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ucam Murcia and Intercity.
What is the prediction for Ucam Murcia vs Intercity?
Our pick is Ucam Murcia or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ucam Murcia vs Intercity?
On our numbers Ucam Murcia have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Intercity 15%.
How many goals will there be in Ucam Murcia vs Intercity?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ucam Murcia vs Intercity?
Our predicted score is Ucam Murcia 1–0 Intercity, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ucam Murcia vs Intercity?
Ucam Murcia vs Intercity (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de La Condomina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
