Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · SpainLa Nucía vs Mallorca II prediction & analysis
La Nucía to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: La Nucía 1.3 – 0.5 Mallorca II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
La Nucía hold the edge on home soil with a 60% chance of winning, against 19% for Mallorca II.
La Nucía have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.5 per game. Mallorca II have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 3.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 1.8 goals (1.3 for La Nucía, 0.5 for Mallorca II). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (21%), 0–0 (16%), 2–0 (14%).
Our pick is La Nucía to win at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is close to our fair price of 1.68.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | La Nucía to win ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.70 |
| Double chance | La Nucía or draw ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT La Nucía / FT La Nucía ✓ | 33% | 3.04 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 21% | 4.78 | – |
Form
La Nucía – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Yeclano | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Real Murcia II | 5–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Poblense | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Alcoyano | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jun | vs Trival Valderas | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Jun | @ Trival Valderas | 0–0 | D |
Mallorca II – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Real Murcia II | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Deportiva Minera | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Valencia II | 1–1 | D |
| 3 May | vs Mercadal | 7–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | vs Felanitx | 8–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | @ Peña Deportiva | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between La Nucía and Mallorca II.
Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportiva Minera | 9 | +7 | 20 |
| 2 |  Ucam Murcia | 10 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 |  Castellón II | 9 | +10 | 18 |
| 4 |  Castellonense | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  La Nucía | 9 | +1 | 15 |
| 6 |  Cieza | 9 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Alcoyano | 9 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Lorca Deportiva | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Intercity | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Atlético Baleares | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  Poblense | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 |  Orihuela | 10 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 |  Mallorca II | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 |  Yeclano | 10 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Real Murcia II | 9 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Elche II | 9 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Valencia II | 9 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 |  Peña Deportiva | 10 | -6 | 7 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for La Nucía vs Mallorca II?
Our pick is La Nucía to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win La Nucía vs Mallorca II?
On our numbers La Nucía have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mallorca II 19%.
How many goals will there be in La Nucía vs Mallorca II?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
When is La Nucía vs Mallorca II?
La Nucía vs Mallorca II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.