Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · SpainPeña Deportiva vs Real Murcia II prediction & analysis
Peña Deportiva to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Peña Deportiva 1.8 – 0.6 Real Murcia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Peña Deportiva are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 10% for Real Murcia II.
Peña Deportiva have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. Real Murcia II have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.8 for Peña Deportiva, 0.6 for Real Murcia II). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (17%), 2–0 (15%), 0–0 (10%).
Our pick is Peña Deportiva to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is better than our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Peña Deportiva to win ✗ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.62 ▲ |
| Double chance | Peña Deportiva or draw ✗ | 90% | 1.11 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Half-time result | Peña Deportiva ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Peña Deportiva / FT Peña Deportiva ✗ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 17% | 5.80 | – |
Form
Peña Deportiva – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Elche II | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Yeclano | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Deportiva Minera | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Aug | @ Ibiza | 0–5 | L |
| 20 Jun | vs Arenas Armilla | 5–2 | W |
| 14 Jun | @ Arenas Armilla | 1–1 | D |
Real Murcia II – last 6
| 20 Sep | vs Mallorca II | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ La Nucía | 1–5 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Orihuela | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jun | @ Pamplona | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Jun | vs Pamplona | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Jun | vs Olímpico Totana | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peña Deportiva and Real Murcia II.
Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportiva Minera | 9 | +7 | 20 |
| 2 |  Ucam Murcia | 10 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 |  Castellón II | 9 | +10 | 18 |
| 4 |  Castellonense | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  La Nucía | 9 | +1 | 15 |
| 6 |  Cieza | 9 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Alcoyano | 9 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Lorca Deportiva | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Intercity | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Atlético Baleares | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  Poblense | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 |  Orihuela | 10 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 |  Mallorca II | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 |  Yeclano | 10 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Real Murcia II | 9 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Elche II | 9 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Valencia II | 9 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 |  Peña Deportiva | 10 | -6 | 7 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Peña Deportiva vs Real Murcia II?
Our pick is Peña Deportiva to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Peña Deportiva vs Real Murcia II?
On our numbers Peña Deportiva have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Murcia II 10%.
How many goals will there be in Peña Deportiva vs Real Murcia II?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Peña Deportiva vs Real Murcia II?
Peña Deportiva vs Real Murcia II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.