Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · SpainPoblense vs Valencia II prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Poblense 1.1 – 0.9 Valencia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Poblense hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 33% for Valencia II.
Poblense have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.0 per game. Valencia II have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.0 goals (1.1 for Poblense, 0.9 for Valencia II). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Poblense have won 0, Valencia II have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 53% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is close to our fair price of 1.90.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Poblense to win ✓ | 43% | 2.31 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.31 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.68 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Poblense / FT Poblense ✓ | 22% | 4.48 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 15% | 6.74 | – |
Form
Poblense – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Alcoyano | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Castellonense | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ La Nucía | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Aug | vs Atlético Baleares | 1–0 | W |
| 24 May | @ Águilas | 0–0 | D |
| 17 May | vs Numancia | 2–1 | W |
Valencia II – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Castellón II | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Ucam Murcia | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Mallorca II | 1–1 | D |
| 3 May | @ Olot | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Apr | vs Espanyol II | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Apr | @ Andratx | 3–5 | L |
Head to head
| 15 Feb 2026 | Valencia II v Poblense | 2–2 |
Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportiva Minera | 9 | +7 | 20 |
| 2 |  Ucam Murcia | 10 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 |  Castellón II | 9 | +10 | 18 |
| 4 |  Castellonense | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  La Nucía | 9 | +1 | 15 |
| 6 |  Cieza | 9 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Alcoyano | 9 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Lorca Deportiva | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Intercity | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Atlético Baleares | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  Poblense | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 |  Orihuela | 10 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 |  Mallorca II | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 |  Yeclano | 10 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Real Murcia II | 9 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Elche II | 9 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Valencia II | 9 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 |  Peña Deportiva | 10 | -6 | 7 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Poblense vs Valencia II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Poblense vs Valencia II?
On our numbers Poblense have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Valencia II 33%.
How many goals will there be in Poblense vs Valencia II?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Poblense vs Valencia II?
Poblense vs Valencia II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.