Value bet: Cieza to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCieza to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.96
Cieza vs Atlético Baleares preview and prediction
The match
Atlético Baleares travel to face Cieza in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 27 September (10:30 WAT). Cieza are 6th with 14 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Atlético Baleares sit 10th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cieza's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Castellonense 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Atlético Baleares's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Ucam Murcia 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Cieza and 1.0 for Atlético Baleares. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cieza 44%, draw 23%, Atlético Baleares 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Cieza to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Cieza 1–1 Atlético Baleares. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cieza44%fair 2.25 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.90
Atlético Baleares32%fair 3.12 · @2.62
2.33Expected goals
1.29Cieza xG
1.04Atlético Baleares xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Cieza 1.3 – 1.0 Atlético Baleares expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cieza to win✗
44%
2.25
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cieza / FT Cieza✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.96
–
Form
Cieza – last 6
LWDWLD
19 Sep
@ Castellonense
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Elche II
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Alcoyano
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Santomera
2–1
W
5 Aug
vs Real Murcia
1–4
L
10 Apr
@ Real Murcia II
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atlético Baleares – last 6
LDLWWL
20 Sep
vs Ucam Murcia
1–4
L
13 Sep
@ Intercity
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Yeclano
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ SS Reyes
3–0
W
21 Aug
@ Real Madrid II
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ Poblense
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cieza and Atlético Baleares.
What is the prediction for Cieza vs Atlético Baleares?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Cieza vs Atlético Baleares?
On our numbers Cieza have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atlético Baleares 32%.
How many goals will there be in Cieza vs Atlético Baleares?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cieza vs Atlético Baleares?
Our predicted score is Cieza 1–1 Atlético Baleares, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cieza vs Atlético Baleares?
Cieza vs Atlético Baleares (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
