Value bet: Deportiva Minera to win @ 3.80 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlcoyano to win ✓41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.92
Alcoyano vs Deportiva Minera preview and prediction
The match
Alcoyano host Deportiva Minera in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio El Collao. Alcoyano are 7th with 14 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Deportiva Minera sit 1st on 20 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Alcoyano's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Poblense 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Deportiva Minera's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Orihuela 2–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Alcoyano and 0.9 for Deportiva Minera. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Deportiva Minera to win at 3.80 – 33% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.97, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alcoyano 1–1 Deportiva Minera. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alcoyano41%fair 2.47 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.80
Deportiva Minera33%fair 2.99 · @3.80
2.00Expected goals
1.07Alcoyano xG
0.93Deportiva Minera xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Alcoyano 1.1 – 0.9 Deportiva Minera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcoyano to win✓
41%
2.47
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.92
–
Form
Alcoyano – last 6
WLDWWD
20 Sep
vs Poblense
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Castellón II
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs Cieza
1–1
D
14 Aug
vs Hércules
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ La Nucía
2–1
W
17 May
@ SS Reyes
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportiva Minera – last 6
DDWWWL
20 Sep
vs Orihuela
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Mallorca II
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Peña Deportiva
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Eldense B
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Cartagena LU II
1–0
W
17 May
vs CD Coria
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcoyano and Deportiva Minera.
What is the prediction for Alcoyano vs Deportiva Minera?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Alcoyano vs Deportiva Minera?
On our numbers Alcoyano have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportiva Minera 33%.
How many goals will there be in Alcoyano vs Deportiva Minera?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcoyano vs Deportiva Minera?
Our predicted score is Alcoyano 1–1 Deportiva Minera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Alcoyano vs Deportiva Minera?
Alcoyano vs Deportiva Minera (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Collao.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
