League Two · England · County GroundSwindon Town vs Grimsby prediction & analysis
Grimsby to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.95
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Swindon Town 0.9 – 1.9 Grimsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Grimsby travel as clear favourites – 64% to win, against 22% for Swindon Town.
Swindon Town have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. Grimsby have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (0.9 for Swindon Town, 1.9 for Grimsby). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (11%), 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Grimsby to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Grimsby to win | 64% | 1.57 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 86% | 1.16 | 1.28 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 60% | 1.68 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | 1.18 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.53 | 1.50 |
| Half-time result | Grimsby ahead at half-time | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Grimsby / FT Grimsby | 38% | 2.67 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 | 11% | 8.97 | – |
Form
Swindon Town – last 6
| 7 Nov | @ Milton Keynes Dons | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Oct | vs Rotherham | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Bristol Rovers | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Oct | @ Barnet | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Walsall | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Crewe | 0–1 | L |
Grimsby – last 6
| 7 Nov | @ Stafford Rangers | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Oct | vs York | 5–2 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Gillingham | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | @ Rochdale | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Northampton | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Port Vale | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Swindon Town and Grimsby.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Swindon Town vs Grimsby?
Our pick is Grimsby to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Swindon Town vs Grimsby?
On our numbers Swindon Town have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Grimsby 64%.
How many goals will there be in Swindon Town vs Grimsby?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Swindon Town vs Grimsby?
Swindon Town vs Grimsby (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at County Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.