Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChesterfield to win41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.60
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield preview and prediction
The match
Bristol Rovers host Chesterfield in the League Two on Saturday 14 November, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Memorial Stadium. Bristol Rovers are 17th with 16 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Chesterfield sit 10th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bristol Rovers's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Reading 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Chesterfield's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Mansfield Town 5–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Chesterfield arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Bristol Rovers and 1.5 for Chesterfield. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 62%.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Bristol Rovers 1–1 Chesterfield. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bristol Rovers34%fair 2.97 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.40
Chesterfield41%fair 2.44 · @2.30
2.98Expected goals
1.45Bristol Rovers xG
1.53Chesterfield xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Bristol Rovers 1.5 – 1.5 Chesterfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Bristol Rovers
Chesterfield
Attack vs League Two average
-9%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.53
1.52
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win
41%
2.44
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.80
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.60
–
Form
Bristol Rovers – last 6
DWLDLL
10 Nov
vs Reading
2–2
D
7 Nov
vs Cambridge United
2–0
W
31 Oct
@ Fleetwood Town
1–3
L
24 Oct
vs Swindon Town
0–0
D
20 Oct
vs Salford City
1–2
L
17 Oct
@ Shrewsbury
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chesterfield – last 6
WWLWDL
10 Nov
@ Mansfield Town
5–3
W
7 Nov
vs Yeovil Town
4–3
W
30 Oct
@ Newport County
1–4
L
24 Oct
vs Crewe
5–1
W
20 Oct
vs Colchester
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Port Vale
0–1
L
2.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bristol Rovers and Chesterfield.
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
On our numbers Bristol Rovers have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chesterfield 41%.
How many goals will there be in Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
Our predicted score is Bristol Rovers 1–1 Chesterfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.