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Today's tips
League Two · England · St James Park

Exeter City

WLWWD
Sat 14 Nov 2026

Cheltenham

WLWWL

Exeter City vs Cheltenham prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
2

Value bet: Cheltenham to win @ 3.40 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.

Quick tips for this match

ResultExeter City to win48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012% · fair 8.56

Win chances

Exeter City48%fair 2.10 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.30
Cheltenham31%fair 3.20 · @3.40
2.50Expected goals
1.42Exeter City xG
1.08Cheltenham xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Exeter City 1.4 – 1.1 Cheltenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Exeter City hold the edge on home soil with a 48% chance of winning, against 31% for Cheltenham.

Exeter City have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.7 per game. Cheltenham have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.4 for Exeter City, 1.1 for Cheltenham). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 2–1 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Exeter City have won 0, Cheltenham have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.34. For a bigger price, Cheltenham to win at 3.40 is our value angle (31% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultExeter City to win48%2.102.00
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.781.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals54%1.871.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.341.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Exeter City / FT Exeter City26%3.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012%8.56–

Form

Exeter City – last 6

WLWWDW
7 Nov@ Huddersfield2–1W
31 Oct@ Salford City1–2L
24 Octvs Fleetwood Town2–1W
20 Octvs Crewe2–0W
17 Oct@ Colchester0–0D
10 Oct@ Shrewsbury1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cheltenham – last 6

WLWWLD
7 Novvs FC Halifax Town2–0W
31 Oct@ Tranmere1–3L
24 Octvs Newport County1–0W
20 Octvs Fleetwood Town4–2W
17 Oct@ Oldham1–4L
13 Octvs Tottenham Hotspur U212–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Sep 2026Cheltenham v Exeter City2–2

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub
Bristol Rovers Chesterfield 134%2.80X21%3.40246%2.30 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22
Colchester Gillingham 142%2.10X24%3.30235%3.20 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28
Crewe Newport County 156%1.95X22%3.40222%3.50 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25
Port Vale Accrington ST 160%1.85X22%3.30219%3.90 1XPort Vale or draw 81%@1.22
Rochdale York 122%4.10X18%4.00260%1.70 GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.62
Rotherham Crawley Town 140%2.00X22%3.50238%3.25 GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.57
Salford City Northampton 161%1.67X20%3.60220%4.75 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.33
Shrewsbury Oldham 141%2.50X23%3.40236%2.50 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Exeter City vs Cheltenham?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Exeter City vs Cheltenham?

On our numbers Exeter City have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cheltenham 31%.

How many goals will there be in Exeter City vs Cheltenham?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

When is Exeter City vs Cheltenham?

Exeter City vs Cheltenham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at St James Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.