Value bet: Gillingham to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultColchester to win42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010% · fair 9.83
Colchester vs Gillingham preview and prediction
The match
Colchester host Gillingham in the League Two on Saturday 14 November, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Colchester are 23rd with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Gillingham sit 8th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Colchester's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Worcester City 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Gillingham's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Barrow 0–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Colchester and 1.2 for Gillingham. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Gillingham to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Prediction
The Footrivo pick: Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Colchester 1–1 Gillingham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Colchester42%fair 2.40 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.30
Gillingham35%fair 2.88 · @3.20
2.61Expected goals
1.38Colchester xG
1.23Gillingham xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Colchester 1.4 – 1.2 Gillingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colchester to win
42%
2.40
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.67
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colchester / FT Colchester
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
10%
9.83
–
Form
Colchester – last 6
WLLDDL
7 Nov
vs Worcester City
1–0
W
31 Oct
vs Walsall
1–3
L
24 Oct
@ Northampton
0–2
L
20 Oct
@ Chesterfield
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Exeter City
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Newport County
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Gillingham – last 6
LWLDLW
7 Nov
vs Barrow
0–1
L
31 Oct
@ Shrewsbury
2–1
W
24 Oct
vs Grimsby
1–4
L
20 Oct
vs Port Vale
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Accrington ST
1–3
L
13 Oct
vs Brighton U21
4–3
W
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colchester and Gillingham.
What is the prediction for Colchester vs Gillingham?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Colchester vs Gillingham?
On our numbers Colchester have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gillingham 35%.
How many goals will there be in Colchester vs Gillingham?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colchester vs Gillingham?
Our predicted score is Colchester 1–1 Gillingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Colchester vs Gillingham?
Colchester vs Gillingham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
